November 26, 2020

APS Radio News

Headlines & News Currents

Majority of UK Pubs, Restaurants Expect to Go Under

Almost three quarters of UK pubs and restaurants expect to shut

World News Online News

Almost three quarters of UK pubs and restaurants expect to shut permanently next year following damaging coronavirus restrictions, an industry poll indicated Thursday.

The British Beer and Pub Association, the British Institute of Innkeeping and UK Hospitality said in a statement that 72 percent of surveyed businesses “expect to become unviable and close in 2021”.

The survey, conducted by market research company CGA, also showed that pubs and other hospitality businesses want the UK government to provide more support.

CGA polled 446 businesses representing more than 20,000 venues nationwide during November.

“The evidence is here to see of the devastating, long-term impact the government’s restrictions are having on hospitality and pub businesses,” the three trade organisations said in a statement.

“Without a change in approach and more support from government, much of our sector could be gone within a year — that means businesses and jobs lost plus much-loved venues closed forever.”

A separate survey meanwhile suggested Thursday that one in three UK restaurants fear they may not survive the next three months following the latest Covid-19 restrictions.

The Office for National Statistics said its survey found that 34 percent of businesses in the accommodation and food services sector have “little or no confidence” they will last beyond the end of January 2021.

The ONS, which carried out its survey in the first two weeks of November, added that 14 percent of all businesses also feared for their survival.

The statistics agency added that just 63 percent of companies in the accommodation and food sectors are currently trading.

English pubs temporarily closed their doors in early November as the country effectively shut down for the second time this year to try to curb spiking Covid-19 infection rates.

The current lockdown has also shuttered restaurants, gyms and non-essential shops and services until December 2, with hopes business could resume in time for Christmas.

To help cushion the blow, the government has rolled out a new multi-billion-pound support package by extending its furlough jobs scheme paying the bulk of workers’ wages until the end of March.

Britain has been the worst-hit nation in Europe from coronavirus, recording more than 53,000 deaths from some 1.4 million positive cases.

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Notes from APS Radio News

In the past few months many media entities have emphasized that the number of cases of the virus has “surged” or “increased” substantially, compared to the period fo the

summer.

Often in news stories there is little or no mention of the mortality rate, which is someone like .0007 or .07% in a number of locations.

Articles often fail to mention that the recovery rate is about 98%, for most age groups, critics maintain.

In addition, observers say that the number of virus tests administered has increased markedly, since the early part of March, when first the virus was publicized by many media

outlets.

For example, according to Our World in Data, whereas on June 24, 2020, in the UK, approximately 1,123 daily per million were tested for the covid virus, on November 11th of

the same year, about 3,975 people were tested, merely to to name one example.

In the U.S., on June 24, 2020, daily, about 2,039 people per million were tested, on November 11, 2020 about 3,256 people per million were tested.

In addition, a number of virologists are saying that the PCR test, which tests for the virus, often is amplified too many times.

By this they mean that testing samples are amplified about 40 times.

The problems with this approach, they say, is that the greater the number of times a sample is amplified, the greater is the chance that false positives will result.

As well, they caution that when material is amplified that many times, there’s a greater chance that test results will include previously contracted viruses, like the common

cold.

In the past so many months the CDC (Center for Disease Control) issued a report, which seemed to suggest that while the number of covid cases increased, the number of other

types of viruses decreased.

Statista, a well-respected statistics service, which is used by various types of industries as well as by agencies of Germany’s government, seems to show what some might call

are bell-shaped curves, with respect to mortality rates due to the current virus, for two different locations, New York and Swedent.

While Sweden has avoided restrictions and lockdowns, New York has done the opposite.

Yet, both locations seem to demonstrate the same shaped curve, with regard to mortality rates, as a function of time.

Returning to the CDC, the latter indicates that almost 94% of deaths associated with the virus were likely caused by other factors, like obesity, cancer and heart disease